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Juan Francisco Estrada Holds Clear Edge Over Nasukawa


The WBC bantamweight eliminator is scheduled for April 11 at the Ryogoku Kokugikan in Tokyo, headlining an Amazon Prime Japan card. It is being presented as a major step in Nasukawa’s boxing ascent.

The WBC champion at bantamweight remains positioned above this eliminator, meaning the winner moves directly into the title queue.

Nasukawa has eight professional boxing fights. He is popular in Japan and built his reputation in kickboxing, but he has not defeated a credible world-level opponent in a boxing ring. His lone step up ended in a clear decision loss to Takuma Inoue, who controlled the distance and dictated the pace without needing to take risks. Takuma is a solid titlist. He is not Naoya Inoue, that difference shapes how quickly Nasukawa can compete at this level.

Estrada turned professional in 2008. He has fought Roman Gonzalez three times in championship bouts and went on the road to defeat Brian Viloria for unified flyweight titles. He held the lineal championship at 115 for years and competed at an elite pace against the best of his era.

Estrada’s knockout loss to Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez showed physical decline, and some observers believed he received the benefit of the doubt in close decisions against Gonzalez and Argi Cortes before that. Even so, seventeen years at the world level leave habits that younger fighters do not possess.

Age has taken a bit off Estrada’s snap. The hands do not crack with the same bite. The instincts are still there.

He knows how to bank rounds when the pace dips. He chips away to the body without overcommitting, keeps his guard responsible, and stays composed when younger fighters try to rush him into mistakes. There is no panic in his work.

Nasukawa’s advantages are youth, likely natural size at bantamweight, and fighting at home before a supportive crowd. Those are real edges. They do not replace seasoning. Eight professional fights do not equal three battles with Roman Gonzalez and more than a decade in championship rounds.

If Esrada cannot handle a former kickboxer still constructing a boxing foundation, then his decline has accelerated beyond what most expect.

Experience still decides fights. In this matchup, experience belongs entirely to Juan Francisco Estrada.



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