Herrera is 23. He’s 17-0. Most of those wins ended early. That’s why he’s the favourite and why very few people expect the fight to swing the other way unless something strange happens.
The reason this bout matters, though, isn’t just who wins. It’s what happens next.
The WBC lightweight title is in an odd place. Shakur Stevenson still holds it, but he’s already got one foot out of the division. He’s fighting Teofimo Lopez at 140 pounds at the end of January, and everything he’s said since points in one direction. Up. Not back down.
Shakur has talked about bigger fights and bigger money. He’s talked about 147. He hasn’t talked about defending the lightweight belt. He hasn’t talked about coming back to clean out the division. That silence matters.
Nothing is official yet. Belts don’t get vacated on interviews. But boxing usually tells you where it’s going before it gets there. Champions don’t move up for one fight and then rush back down to defend against names that don’t excite them financially.
If Herrera beats Núñez and comes away with the interim belt, he’s suddenly sitting in a very different position. Not crowned. Not guaranteed anything. But waiting. Ranked. Holding something the WBC can actually use if the division needs to move on.
That’s how these things usually work. Someone leaves. The belt sits for a minute. And then the interim guy stops being “interim.”
Could something derail it? Sure. Fights fall apart. Plans change. Sanctioning bodies drag their feet. But if Stevenson stays at 140 or moves on to 147 like he’s suggested, the lightweight title isn’t coming with him.
And if that happens, Herrera doesn’t have to chase anything. He just has to be there when the call comes.
That’s what this fight is really about. Not hype. Not momentum. Just positioning. If the lightweight belt gets left behind, Herrera is the one standing closest to it. And that’s how titles change hands when nobody’s looking.